Radar 4
Regulation and Policy Shift Strategic Signals
Where permission, constraint and market rules are shifting — and why it matters strategically.
Scope: global policy signals, with emphasis on Europe, North America and selected high-impact APAC developments. Signals reflect policy moves with market-level impact, including new compliance regimes, enforcement shifts and rule changes that alter incentives, cost structures and competitive dynamics.
Coverage window: December 2025 – February 2026.
Example signals reflected in this radar
EU AI Act sandboxes and readiness focus European Commission and standards bodies
US federal AI pre emption proposals and state level governance moves including California
EU carbon border mechanism expansion and carbon pricing timelines
Thailand climate bill and Malaysia incentives ahead of carbon tax
Export controls affecting advanced AI chips to China
FinCEN real estate anti money laundering rules and CME Treasuries clearing approval
Hong Kong moves toward mandatory breach notification and evolving US state privacy laws
China enforcement against fake AI services and emerging military AI governance norms
This radar synthesises policy signals to show where permission to operate is expanding or contracting — and where regulatory direction of travel will force investment redesign or strategic repositioning.